Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +9 (78-69). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robin Smeulders | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 22 | - |
| J. Stohl | 30 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| T.J. Campbell | 29 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 25 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| K. Knutson | 25 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| N. Raivio | 23 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Ito | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Luke Sikma | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Fields | 38 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Luke Babbitt | 37 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Dario Hunt | 34 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Shaw | 32 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Armon Johnson | 31 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Olson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Giles | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Cukic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter