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2009-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Boilermakers Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 85.0% 15.0% -
Bradley-Terry 50.2% 49.8% -
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 (12.8 off)
Pythagorean 80.2% 19.8% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.9% 8.1% -
Log Adjusted 91.9% 8.1% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -11 (56-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore 36 8-15 1-3 4-5 7 3 1 0 2 21 15 -
C. Kramer 35 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 4 8 -
R. Hummel 35 5-12 1-4 5-7 8 1 3 1 0 16 17 -
J. Johnson 27 3-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 2 2 6 7 -
K. Grant 16 4-6 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 9 8 -
K. Barlow 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
M. Wohlford 11 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
R. Smith 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Bade 8 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 5 3 -
D.J. Byrd 7 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens 40 2-6 2-3 0-2 3 1 0 0 5 6 -1 -
E. May 38 4-8 1-4 2-2 8 3 0 2 3 11 13 -
A. Fuller 34 6-11 1-3 2-2 8 2 0 0 3 15 11 -
C. Payne 32 2-11 0-2 2-2 0 4 0 0 4 6 -5 -
J. Cole 24 4-7 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 1 1 9 9 -
B. Cougill 12 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
D. Bawinkel 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Lickliter 8 2-2 1-1 1-2 0 0 2 0 0 6 6 -

* = starter