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2009-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 38.7% 61.3% -
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% -
Margin 69.8% 30.2% -4.6 (19.6 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 75.1% 24.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.9% 31.1% -
Log Adjusted 69.0% 31.0% -

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +15 (72-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Hannah 36 3-5 1-2 4-4 5 7 1 0 2 11 17 -
T. Murry 34 1-8 1-4 0-2 2 1 2 0 1 3 -1 -
J.T. Durley 28 3-10 2-4 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 10 5 -
D. Kyles 23 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 4 1 -
G. Hatch 23 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
A. Ellis 21 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
G. Blair 19 6-8 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 12 10 -
G. Stutz 11 2-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 5 3 -
D. Williams 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Phillips 37 0-6 0-4 3-4 0 4 5 0 1 3 5 -
D. Odiakosa 35 3-5 0-0 3-7 8 2 1 0 2 9 13 -
O. Eldridge 34 9-15 6-9 2-2 2 5 1 0 0 26 19 -
A. Rubin 31 3-6 2-3 2-2 0 4 0 0 0 10 8 -
J. Carmichael 22 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 1 8 9 -
T. Lewis 18 5-8 0-0 3-3 8 1 0 0 0 13 14 -
A. Hill 15 1-4 1-1 0-2 1 1 0 0 4 3 -3 -
K. Thornton 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Clark 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter