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2009-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Eastern Washington Eagles Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 1.8% 98.2% -
Bradley-Terry 5.7% 94.3% -
Margin 1.4% 98.6% +23.5 (18.5 off)
Pythagorean 21.7% 78.3% -
Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% -
Log Adjusted 2.4% 97.6% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +42 (94-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Dunn 32 3-8 2-6 3-4 5 0 0 0 3 11 5 -
B. Moore 23 0-6 0-0 0-3 9 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
G. Gibson 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 3 0 1 2 1 -
J. Forbes 21 3-10 0-6 2-4 1 3 3 0 2 8 3 -
G. Dean 21 3-8 1-2 6-6 3 1 1 0 4 13 6 -
B. Valentine 20 4-10 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 0 -
K. Winford 19 0-6 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -
A. Gibbs 17 1-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 3 2 -1 -
M. Brunell 13 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 -
L. Griffin 12 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 6 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Harris 27 9-11 1-1 3-6 7 1 3 1 1 22 22 -
S. Gray 22 4-9 3-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 11 7 -
M. Bouldin 22 4-9 2-3 1-2 2 3 4 0 1 11 10 -
M. Arop 18 3-4 3-4 1-2 7 6 0 0 1 10 18 -
R. Sacre 16 1-3 0-0 1-2 5 2 3 1 2 3 9 -
D. Goodson 16 4-8 0-3 1-1 2 2 2 0 2 9 5 -
K. Olynyk 15 4-9 0-2 2-3 3 1 0 0 0 10 5 -
B. Kong 14 1-4 0-0 2-4 7 1 0 0 0 4 8 -
G. Gibbs 13 2-4 2-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 6 7 -
G.J. Vilarino 13 1-3 0-1 2-5 2 0 1 0 3 4 1 -
W. Foster 9 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
A. Poling 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 -
M. Hart 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Pontarolo-Maag 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter