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2009-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 66.1% 33.9% -
Bradley-Terry 29.4% 70.6% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.2 (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% -
Log Adjusted 58.7% 41.3% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Maniscalco 38 4-11 1-6 5-5 3 5 3 0 3 14 11 -
T. Brown 37 6-14 0-1 5-5 11 1 5 1 2 17 19 -
C. Roberts 36 2-8 0-3 2-2 4 3 0 0 1 6 4 -
A. Warren 34 8-12 4-6 4-4 8 1 0 0 3 24 18 -
W. Egolf 28 1-4 0-0 1-3 5 2 1 0 1 3 6 -
J. Eastman 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 3 3 0 -
S. Singh 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. McCain 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Knezevic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young 37 5-11 3-9 1-2 1 1 1 0 4 14 2 -
R. Wedel 28 3-12 2-7 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 8 -2 -
S. VanDeest 26 2-3 0-1 1-2 9 3 0 1 1 5 14 -
A. Templeton 24 3-7 1-3 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 7 9 -
C. Stanley 21 3-5 2-2 2-2 4 3 0 0 3 10 9 -
B. Simons 20 1-8 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 2 -1 -
A. Hawley 16 4-10 1-4 2-2 8 0 3 0 0 11 12 -
F. Wiseler 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -5 -
B. Eaddy 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Uhlenhopp 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -

* = starter