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2009-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Boston University Terriers Dayton Flyers Spread Result
Elo 3.8% 96.2% -
Bradley-Terry 13.9% 86.1% -
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.6 (1.6 off)
Efficiency 5.7% 94.3% -

Actual: Dayton Flyers +14 (74-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston University Terriers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lowe 37 5-18 4-10 3-3 7 6 0 1 2 17 11 -
J. Holland 35 3-12 0-8 3-5 4 2 1 1 2 9 3 -
J. O'Brien 31 4-10 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 9 2 -
T. Morris 31 3-6 1-4 0-0 1 6 0 0 3 7 5 -
C. Strong 30 4-4 3-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 13 11 -
V. Sirutis 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 3 3 -
J. Pelage 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
S. Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dayton Flyers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wright 26 8-10 0-1 3-4 8 1 0 0 2 19 16 -
P. Williams 25 0-4 0-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
L. Warren 25 0-0 0-0 0-1 3 9 2 0 1 0 13 -
R. Lowery 23 8-10 7-9 0-0 3 4 1 0 2 23 19 -
M. Perry 19 2-8 1-7 0-1 2 2 0 0 1 5 0 -
D. Searcy 18 3-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
K. Huelsman 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 3 0 1 -
J. Benson 17 2-5 0-0 3-3 2 2 0 0 2 7 4 -
C. Johnson 16 4-4 1-1 3-3 4 0 0 0 2 12 10 -
M. Johnson 14 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter