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2009-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Texas Tech Red Raiders New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 28.9% 71.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 19.9% 80.1% - โœ“
Margin 23.0% 77.0% +6.7 โœ“ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.9% 70.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“

Actual: New Mexico Lobos +15 (90-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Roberson 27 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 4 0 0 4 5 0 -
N. Okorie 26 6-13 2-4 0-1 3 1 1 0 2 14 4 -
D. Roberts 25 1-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 2 1 4 7 -
M. Singletary 24 2-4 0-1 5-8 3 1 0 0 4 9 5 -
D. Tairu 23 5-8 0-1 8-10 3 1 0 1 0 18 15 -
B. Reese 17 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 4 2 -2 -
D. Cohadarevic 16 1-4 0-1 2-2 7 2 0 0 1 4 8 -
R. Lewandowski 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
T. Jenkins 11 2-4 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
M. Davis 10 2-7 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 0 0 4 0 -
W. Dunn 8 2-3 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 7 4 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hobson 35 6-16 3-4 8-10 12 4 2 0 5 23 20 -
R. Martinez 29 3-9 1-4 3-4 11 1 3 0 0 10 16 -
D. Gary 26 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 0 6 7 -
A.J. Hardeman 22 3-4 0-0 4-8 3 0 0 1 1 10 9 -
N. Garth 19 1-4 0-2 4-4 3 3 1 0 2 6 7 -
P. McDonald 17 3-8 0-4 0-2 1 0 0 2 0 6 1 -
J. Fenton 16 0-1 0-1 4-6 1 3 0 0 2 4 5 -
W. Brown 16 4-4 0-0 3-5 3 0 0 1 1 11 10 -
C. Dennis 14 5-9 0-2 4-4 2 0 2 0 1 14 8 -
C. Adams 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter