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2009-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 11.6% 88.4% -
Bradley-Terry 25.3% 74.7% -
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 (18.2 off)
Pythagorean 70.8% 29.2% -
Efficiency 90.9% 9.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.8% 6.2% -
Log Adjusted 93.8% 6.2% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays -8 (52-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Farokhmanesh 32 4-11 3-8 4-4 1 1 1 0 1 15 6 -
K. Ahelegbe 31 3-13 0-1 6-6 4 4 0 0 2 12 5 -
J. Moran 31 1-6 0-4 1-2 8 2 1 0 0 3 8 -
L. O'Rear 24 2-2 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 6 10 -
A. Koch 21 2-8 1-3 3-3 8 0 1 0 3 8 6 -
J. Eglseder 20 4-5 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 1 0 11 13 -
K. Dunham 18 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Koch 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 4 -
M. Sonnen 6 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
A. James 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Young 32 4-10 0-2 0-3 3 3 0 0 2 8 2 -
P. Stinnett 28 1-8 1-4 0-1 6 3 0 0 3 3 1 -
C. Witter 25 6-10 5-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 17 6 -
D. Ashford 24 1-3 1-3 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 6 5 -
W. Runnels 21 4-8 0-0 0-1 6 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
K. Lawson Jr. 19 1-4 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 1 3 6 5 -
C. Harriman 17 0-0 0-0 4-5 1 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Carter 16 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
K. Korver 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
E. Wragge 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Bock 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter