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2009-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Long Beach State Beach Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 2.5% 97.5% -
Bradley-Terry 6.3% 93.7% -
Margin 1.2% 98.8% +24.2 (3.2 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +21 (84-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Long Beach State Beach

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gilling 30 3-7 3-6 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 2 -
T.J. Robinson 29 4-12 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 0 4 10 3 -
C. Ware 29 2-8 0-2 2-2 4 6 0 0 3 6 5 -
L. Anderson 27 4-9 2-4 4-4 5 3 3 0 2 14 14 -
E. Phelps 26 2-8 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 2 0 6 7 -
G. Plater 24 5-10 3-5 0-0 3 2 2 1 0 13 11 -
A. Lazdauskas 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 1 0 5 -
J. Woodard 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 0 0 -
A. Fleming 9 2-4 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
K. Richardson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. King 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Scheyer 38 8-18 6-12 0-1 3 7 2 0 0 22 16 -
N. Smith 36 7-14 4-6 1-4 3 7 1 1 0 19 17 -
K. Singler 31 5-12 3-5 1-2 9 3 1 0 3 14 12 -
L. Thomas 28 4-8 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 10 4 -
B. Zoubek 25 5-5 0-0 0-1 12 0 0 3 2 10 18 -
M. Plumlee 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
M. Plumlee 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 4 1 0 5 -
A. Dawkins 9 2-3 2-3 1-3 1 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
R. Kelly 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
J. Davidson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Johnson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter