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2009-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 57.8% 42.2% -
Bradley-Terry 51.9% 48.1% -
Margin 44.2% 55.8% +1.3 (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% -
Log Adjusted 61.6% 38.4% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +18 (70-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Reed 31 1-4 1-3 4-4 3 2 0 0 4 7 4 -
H. Marshall 30 5-9 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 10 4 -
C. Richard 21 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 1 2 4 4 -
J. Printy 20 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
D. Lathan 19 4-7 0-1 3-4 4 1 0 1 5 11 5 -
J. Kelly 19 1-3 0-1 1-2 0 2 1 1 2 3 2 -
B. Leitnaker 19 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 8 9 -
I. Martin 14 0-0 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 1 1 0 4 -
A. Carter 10 0-1 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Crawford 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
K. Doluony 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dillard 31 3-11 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 6 -4 -
J. Freeman 27 1-2 0-0 4-4 6 3 3 0 1 6 15 -
J. Bocot 26 6-11 1-3 1-1 2 2 2 0 0 14 9 -
N. Evans 24 4-8 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 0 2 11 5 -
T. Freeman 24 7-10 5-7 0-0 0 4 3 0 2 19 14 -
C. Fay 23 3-9 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 6 -3 -
K. Brown-Surles 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 0 0 2 10 -
A. Booker 13 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 6 7 -
E. Teague 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Moise 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Long 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Mitchell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter