Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +18 (70-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Reed | 31 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| H. Marshall | 30 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| C. Richard | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Printy | 20 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Lathan | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Kelly | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Leitnaker | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| I. Martin | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Carter | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Crawford | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Doluony | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dillard | 31 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -4 | - |
| J. Freeman | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| J. Bocot | 26 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| N. Evans | 24 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Freeman | 24 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| C. Fay | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | - |
| K. Brown-Surles | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| A. Booker | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| E. Teague | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Moise | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Long | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Mitchell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter