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2009-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 37.1% 62.9% -
Bradley-Terry 24.9% 75.1% -
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 (0.7 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -
Efficiency 77.8% 22.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.8% 95.2% -
Log Adjusted 4.6% 95.4% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +11 (70-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Zampier 34 3-12 0-6 1-1 4 1 4 1 5 7 0 -
P. Nelson 29 5-6 0-0 2-6 13 1 0 1 1 12 20 -
P. Braswell 28 3-5 2-3 5-6 3 3 1 0 3 13 12 -
M. Sands 20 4-5 0-0 5-5 8 0 0 1 4 13 13 -
G. Mangano 19 1-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 2 3 2 1 -
J. Gibson 18 2-6 0-0 1-1 1 3 1 0 2 5 2 -
R. Mantilla 15 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 1 1 5 4 -
M. Grace 11 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 0 -6 -
J. Davis 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
R. Willhite 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 1 3 2 1 -
B. Katz 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Morgan 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Anderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Higgins 35 8-15 2-5 5-9 4 3 3 1 3 23 16 -
N. Tomlinson 30 1-3 0-1 2-3 4 2 3 0 3 4 7 -
A. Burks 29 4-10 0-2 11-13 3 3 6 0 4 19 17 -
A. Dufault 29 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 1 1 3 1 -
M. Relphorde 29 6-11 1-2 2-3 6 1 3 0 1 15 13 -
D. Thorne II 19 0-4 0-2 5-6 1 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
S. Harris-Tunks 18 0-0 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 1 3 -
K. Hornbuckle 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter