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2009-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Chicago State Cougars Samford Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 10.8% 89.2% -
Bradley-Terry 16.7% 83.3% -
Margin 5.5% 94.5% +15.7 (1.3 off)

Actual: Samford Bulldogs +17 (63-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago State Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Wall 34 3-12 2-7 1-1 2 1 0 0 3 9 -3 -
C. Montgomery 32 3-9 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
J. Montgomery 27 3-10 1-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 7 2 -
D. Windham 25 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 1 1 0 1 4 7 -
K. Kasamba 25 1-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
A. Lofton 24 4-9 1-1 3-4 0 0 3 0 0 12 6 -
V. Scott 12 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
H. Martin 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Smith 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Kielbasa 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Montgomery 32 4-7 2-5 0-0 5 5 0 0 0 10 13 -
J. Davis 31 6-11 5-10 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 19 11 -
B. Friday 30 6-11 1-5 2-2 4 4 0 0 2 15 10 -
J. Merritt 27 2-3 1-2 2-2 5 3 0 1 0 7 13 -
A. King 23 2-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 4 2 -
M. Friday 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 0 4 -
K. Johnson 13 2-3 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
J. Peterson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Wooten 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
G. Bermudez 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
J. Bedwell 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter