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2009-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros Spread Result
Elo 19.6% 80.4% -
Bradley-Terry 48.5% 51.5% -
Margin 44.7% 55.3% +1.2 (6.2 off)
Efficiency 96.3% 3.7% -

Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros -5 (59-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jones 37 9-14 2-3 5-6 6 2 0 0 2 25 17 -
G. Rogers 33 2-9 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 0 5 6 -4 -
J. Olubuyi 31 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 7 1 0 1 2 10 -
N. Larson 29 2-4 0-1 2-2 9 2 2 0 3 6 12 -
S. Johannsen 27 6-8 0-0 6-8 5 0 0 0 1 18 14 -
J. Lepley 13 1-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 0 5 6 -
L. Flores 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
R. Wallace 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
S. Saldivar 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Jones 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Weiermiller 31 3-7 1-4 7-10 1 3 1 1 0 14 13 -
L. Valera 30 2-6 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 6 6 -
J. Maree 26 5-10 0-0 8-8 3 1 0 0 1 18 11 -
A. Urbanus 26 3-9 1-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 0 -
J. Hearn 21 0-2 0-0 0-2 4 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
M. Mierzycki 18 3-9 0-1 1-2 6 1 1 0 1 7 5 -
B. Smith 15 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -4 -
C. Jones 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
M. Hendrix 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
R. Seagears 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Trader 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
N. Hawkins 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter