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2009-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 58.4% 41.6% -
Bradley-Terry 54.4% 45.6% -
Margin 48.9% 51.1% +0.2 (22.8 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +23 (73-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Green 34 4-14 2-7 2-2 1 4 2 1 6 12 0 -
A. Nigon 29 1-8 0-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 2 -3 -
P. Hornung 26 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 4 7 -
T. Franklin 20 2-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 4 1 -
A. Ogide 19 3-6 0-0 2-4 6 0 2 0 3 8 7 -
M. Bocar Ba 17 1-2 0-0 3-3 7 0 0 1 1 5 10 -
T. Busch 15 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 1 2 2 -
G. Smith 12 0-2 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
A. McFarland 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
J. Carr 9 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 3 8 5 -
A. Dunn 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Smith 34 7-9 0-0 4-5 5 0 1 5 0 18 20 -
P. George 31 2-6 1-4 3-4 5 4 3 0 5 8 9 -
S. Shepp 30 2-5 1-3 4-5 1 4 3 0 3 9 9 -
M. Ladd 25 4-8 4-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 12 10 -
S. Seay 24 6-9 2-2 3-4 5 4 0 0 3 17 14 -
B. Sperling 21 1-3 1-2 1-2 5 3 1 0 3 4 7 -
N. Golubovic 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 -
G. Johnson 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -
J. Brown 10 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 1 2 3 2 -

* = starter