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2009-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 58.1% 41.9% -
Bradley-Terry 58.3% 41.7% -
Margin 57.4% 42.6% -1.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% -
Log Adjusted 37.0% 63.0% -

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers +8 (62-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 31 5-8 5-6 0-0 2 3 0 1 2 15 11 -
J. Leuer 30 6-8 1-1 4-4 7 5 0 1 0 17 22 -
T. Hughes 22 5-9 2-3 0-0 5 3 2 0 3 12 10 -
T. Jarmusz 22 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Taylor 21 4-8 3-5 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 11 7 -
R. Wilson 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 8 2 1 0 1 0 7 -
R. Evans 16 5-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
K. Nankivil 14 3-5 0-1 2-4 2 0 1 0 0 8 6 -
M. Bruesewitz 13 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
J. Berggren 5 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
W. Smith 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Valentyn 3 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J.P. Gavinski 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Fahey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter