Model Predictions
| Model | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | +10.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +14 (81-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mitchell | 35 | 6-16 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| M. Rosario | 35 | 10-21 | 1-9 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 5 | - |
| J. Beatty | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Miller | 27 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| H. Ndiaye | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Coburn | 17 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Johnson | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Jackson | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| B. Okam | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Davis | 30 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| W. Graves | 30 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| L. Drew II | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Thompson | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| D. Strickland | 18 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| T. Zeller | 17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| J. Watts | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| D. Wear | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| J. Henson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. McDonald | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Wear | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter