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2009-12-28

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars Arizona Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 27.6% 72.4% -
Bradley-Terry 92.4% 7.6% -
Margin 46.4% 53.6% +0.8 (30.8 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% -
Efficiency 88.1% 11.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.0% 14.0% -
Log Adjusted 86.3% 13.7% -

Actual: Arizona Wildcats -30 (69-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fredette 36 16-23 9-13 8-9 7 9 2 0 5 49 39 -
T. Haws 32 5-8 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 12 7 -
J. Emery 31 5-10 3-7 0-0 7 8 2 1 0 13 21 -
J. Tavernari 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 2 5 -
C. Miles 22 4-7 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 8 5 -
N. Hartsock 21 2-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 0 5 4 -
B. Davies 13 2-5 0-0 2-3 2 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
M. Loyd Jr. 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Morgan Jr. 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Abouo 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Anderson 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
L. Magnusson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Zylstra 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hill 29 6-10 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 3 13 5 -
N. Wise 29 3-8 0-4 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 8 2 -
K. Fogg 24 5-12 1-4 5-6 1 2 0 0 2 16 5 -
D. Williams 24 5-9 0-0 7-10 7 1 0 0 5 17 11 -
J. Horne 22 2-8 1-3 0-0 6 3 2 0 2 5 6 -
L. Jones 22 2-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 4 4 -
B. Lavender 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 0 -
K. Parrom 14 2-3 0-1 0-5 3 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
A. Jacobson 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
K. Natyazhko 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D.J. Shumpert 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter