Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.8% | 48.2% | -0.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -11 (56-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gerrity | 40 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Lewis | 37 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| M. Johnson | 34 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| N. Vucevic | 32 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| L. Washington | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Simmons | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Bellfield | 32 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| T. Willis | 29 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| K. Wallace | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Shaw | 23 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Jasper | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | - |
| A. Marshall | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Santee | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - |
| C. Stanback | 13 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -4 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Massamba | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter