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2009-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Central Arkansas Bears Western Illinois Leathernecks Spread Result
Elo 72.0% 28.0% -
Bradley-Terry 29.8% 70.2% -
Margin 20.8% 79.2% +7.4 (3.6 off)

Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks +11 (55-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Rehmel 35 2-11 0-4 2-2 1 2 3 0 2 6 -1 -
M. Rueter 34 4-11 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 11 3 -
T. Sheppard 28 1-5 0-0 4-6 8 0 1 2 0 6 12 -
I. Qahwash 24 0-1 0-0 2-2 9 2 2 0 2 2 12 -
C. Poellnitz 23 1-12 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -9 -
R. Daniels 18 1-3 1-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
C. Dos Santos 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 4 0 -
D. Clayborn 16 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
C. Henson 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 -

Western Illinois Leathernecks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Clark III 39 4-10 1-3 0-0 11 6 2 1 1 9 18 -
D. Nurse 37 3-6 3-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 9 6 -
J. Granstra 30 6-10 0-0 2-4 9 1 1 5 1 14 19 -
J. Johnson 23 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 6 2 -
Q. Kirby 23 1-5 0-2 2-2 8 3 0 0 2 4 8 -
M. Lander 20 2-6 0-2 4-4 2 0 2 0 5 8 1 -
E. Okafor Jr. 11 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Gebru 11 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
A. Mims 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Tyler 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter