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2009-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Idaho Vandals Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 (25.6 off)
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +30 (82-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Watson 32 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 2 2 0 1 6 9 -
M. Hopson 30 5-9 1-4 4-7 3 3 3 0 3 15 12 -
S. Johnson 26 1-8 1-4 1-2 2 1 2 0 1 4 0 -
M. Jefferson 25 3-7 0-0 3-6 8 0 1 2 1 9 12 -
K. Barone 19 3-6 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 4 6 0 -
L. Toledo 17 2-3 0-0 1-4 2 1 1 0 5 5 1 -
S. Henderson 16 3-8 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
L. de Souza 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Ledbetter 14 0-2 0-1 1-5 0 1 0 0 2 1 -2 -
C. Stern 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Blackstock 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Raivio 33 5-18 3-6 1-3 6 3 1 0 3 14 3 -
R. Smeulders 31 5-11 0-0 3-4 13 2 1 1 4 13 15 -
J. Stohl 28 10-17 10-15 0-0 6 0 3 0 0 30 22 -
T. Ito 26 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 -
L. Sikma 25 3-3 0-0 0-0 7 7 1 2 1 6 19 -
K. Knutson 21 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 2 2 0 1 2 6 -
T.J. Campbell 19 2-4 1-2 4-5 0 3 0 0 1 9 7 -
E. Niedermeyer 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 3 2 -
J. Hannibal 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
N. Mitrovic 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Mivshek 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter