🐻⬇️🏀

Montana State Bobcats 56
@
Boise State Broncos 58
2009-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 20.6% 79.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 20.2% 79.8% - ✓
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 ✓ (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 59.3% 40.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 47.8% 52.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 47.4% 52.6% - ✓

Actual: Boise State Broncos +2 (58-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Rush 37 5-12 0-1 4-4 5 2 1 1 4 14 7 -
M. Navarre 32 2-5 1-2 0-1 4 4 2 0 2 5 8 -
B. Johnson 31 4-9 2-5 0-2 9 0 1 1 3 10 9 -
B. Howard 29 6-12 0-3 2-3 2 3 1 0 2 14 6 -
W. Bynum 24 2-7 0-1 0-1 2 2 0 0 1 4 0 -
D. Piepoli 17 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
B. Louff 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 0 0 -
C. Henderson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Brown 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Anderson 6 1-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
M. Swita 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Anderson 40 3-11 1-2 1-2 6 4 4 2 1 8 12 -
P. Noonan 30 3-8 3-6 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 9 6 -
A. Thomas 29 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 4 0 -
R. Arnold 27 2-7 1-3 0-1 3 2 1 0 0 5 4 -
I. Okoye 26 4-11 0-0 1-2 4 1 2 0 1 9 4 -
K. Cunningham 24 6-8 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 0 6 14 6 -
Z. Moritz 17 3-6 0-0 3-3 7 0 0 0 1 9 9 -
D. Montreal 7 0-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter