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2009-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Buffalo Bulls Green Bay Phoenix Spread Result
Elo 39.5% 60.5% -
Bradley-Terry 53.4% 46.6% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (6.5 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Green Bay Phoenix -6 (65-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Buffalo Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Pierce 37 10-24 3-6 6-6 3 0 1 0 2 29 7 -
J. Boyer 35 3-6 3-6 0-1 5 6 1 0 1 9 14 -
C. Betts 35 3-10 0-3 2-2 7 4 3 1 2 8 11 -
M. Boudreau 25 3-9 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 1 1 7 0 -
D. Barnett 22 4-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 7 -
T. Robinson 19 2-7 0-0 2-2 7 0 0 2 2 6 6 -
A. Laleye 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
M. Watt 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
S. Smiley 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Z. Filzen 3 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
M. Clifford 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Berry 36 0-2 0-0 3-4 7 1 1 4 2 3 12 -
T. Cotton 35 4-11 4-8 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 12 3 -
B. Perine 31 6-11 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 4 14 1 -
R. Fletcher 29 7-14 0-2 5-6 1 4 1 0 2 19 9 -
C. Barkley 24 4-8 1-2 0-0 5 0 2 0 3 9 5 -
S. Evans 16 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
P. Nelson 15 0-1 0-0 2-4 5 0 0 1 2 2 5 -
R. Pearson 9 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
M. Smith 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter