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2009-12-22

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars Nevada Wolf Pack Spread Result
Elo 80.2% 19.8% -
Bradley-Terry 66.6% 33.4% -
Margin 73.2% 26.8% -5.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.4% 45.6% -
Efficiency 92.1% 7.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.0% 14.0% -
Log Adjusted 86.3% 13.7% -

Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -6 (104-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Emery 37 8-12 5-7 4-4 2 3 3 0 0 25 21 -
T. Haws 34 7-7 0-0 6-6 3 2 0 0 1 20 17 -
J. Fredette 34 11-16 2-5 9-9 1 6 3 0 5 33 22 -
J. Tavernari 29 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 3 2 0 4 2 2 -
N. Hartsock 24 5-6 0-0 2-2 6 3 0 1 1 12 15 -
C. Miles 14 1-3 0-0 3-4 3 2 0 0 0 5 7 -
B. Davies 10 3-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 8 6 -
C. Abouo 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
L. Morgan Jr. 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Anderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Loyd Jr. 3 1-3 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Babbitt 39 7-12 0-1 6-7 6 2 1 0 3 20 14 -
A. Johnson 38 13-21 1-4 3-8 2 5 0 0 5 30 11 -
D. Hunt 35 7-10 0-0 7-8 9 1 1 1 1 21 22 -
B. Fields 27 6-12 1-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 15 7 -
J. Shaw 27 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 4 4 -
R. Kraemer 26 5-9 4-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 14 8 -
K. Olson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Giles 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Cukic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter