Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +14 (67-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. McCoy | 33 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D. Williams | 32 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 4 | - |
| J. Haynes | 27 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Dia | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Faye | 24 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R. Nyakundi | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Harp | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Walker | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| F. Otis | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Clinkscales | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Luttman | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Marshall | 26 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Jasper | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| C. Stanback | 26 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Willis | 25 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 2 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Shaw | 20 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| S. Jones Jr. | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Santee | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| O. Bellfield | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| K. Wallace | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Massamba | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter