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2009-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Grambling Tigers Illinois State Redbirds Spread Result
Elo 11.1% 88.9% -
Bradley-Terry 11.0% 89.0% -
Margin 3.4% 96.6% +18.3 (5.7 off)

Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +24 (80-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Loyd 39 2-6 2-3 0-0 8 2 0 1 4 6 7 -
D. Qualls 38 3-13 3-9 4-6 2 0 1 1 0 13 4 -
G. Akpele 30 2-6 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 1 3 5 -2 -
A. Perkins 26 3-7 0-1 1-2 2 3 0 0 0 7 5 -
M. Wilkerson 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 2 -
T. Young-Canty 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
T. Bryson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Harris 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
A. Saint-Gelais 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Forbes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Phillips 32 2-12 1-5 3-4 3 3 1 2 1 8 4 -
A. Rubin 32 3-3 2-2 0-0 0 4 2 0 0 8 11 -
O. Eldridge 32 9-13 4-6 1-1 5 2 3 2 4 23 18 -
D. Odiakosa 25 6-8 0-0 2-4 11 1 0 0 2 14 16 -
J. Carmichael 20 3-6 0-0 10-14 3 0 0 2 1 16 14 -
K. Thornton 18 4-8 1-5 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
J. Clark 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
T. Lewis 13 1-4 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
T. Johnson 10 0-2 0-1 0-1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -
B. Mishler 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Coates 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter