Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +11 (79-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 36 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -4 | - |
| R. Morgan | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Allen | 27 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 0 | - |
| D. Roe | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Summers | 24 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| K. Lucious | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Green | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| D. Nix | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| G. Sherman | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Thornton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. James | 38 | 10-18 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| A. Bradley | 29 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Brown | 28 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| D. Balbay | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| J. Hamilton | 20 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| G. Johnson | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Pittman | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Lucas | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Mason | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Wangmene | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Chapman | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Hill | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter