Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.7% | 93.3% | +14.5 | ✓ (19.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.4% | 96.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +34 (92-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. McGhee | 33 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| K. Daniels | 27 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | - |
| W. Galick | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Hill | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| M. Lizarraga | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| L. Daniel | 19 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3-10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Cody | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| T. Taylor | 14 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
| V. Cordell | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Osunsanmi | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| A. Henson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Tomlinson | 30 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Burks | 28 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| C. Higgins | 28 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Relphorde | 27 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| A. Dufault | 23 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| D. Thorne II | 18 | 6-10 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| S. Harris-Tunks | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Hornbuckle | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| L. Knutson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Crawford | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Eckloff | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Coney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter