Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.5% | 77.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.6% | 88.4% | +11.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +12 (75-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 34 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| A. Nigon | 31 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Franklin | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| P. Hornung | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| A. Ogide | 24 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| G. Smith | 20 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Busch | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Carr | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Dunn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lee | 39 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 15 | - |
| J. Anderson | 33 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | - |
| N. Dragovic | 32 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17 | - |
| R. Nelson | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| M. Roll | 28 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| T. Honeycutt | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Morgan | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Lane | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| M. Abdul-Hamid | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter