Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -4 (72-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Navarre | 34 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| B. Howard | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| B. Johnson | 31 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| W. Bynum | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| E. Rush | 26 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Brown | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| C. Anderson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Henderson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lewis | 37 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| W. Donahue | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 21 | - |
| J. Lewis | 25 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Odister | 23 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| L. Keeler | 23 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Brown | 18 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Anderson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Hanson | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. Taylor | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Royer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter