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2009-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 56.5% 43.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.5% 64.5% -
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 68.4% 31.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.8% 91.2% -
Log Adjusted 8.6% 91.4% -

Actual: Providence Friars +9 (87-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Zampier 31 10-19 3-9 2-3 7 3 1 0 3 25 14 -
J. Gibson 29 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 2 2 8 9 -
P. Braswell 25 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 2 -1 -
M. Sands 22 3-8 0-0 4-6 4 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
P. Nelson 22 2-7 0-0 2-2 6 0 2 0 1 6 6 -
G. Mangano 19 6-10 1-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 14 6 -
A. Morgan 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 5 4 -
R. Willhite 13 1-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 2 0 -
R. Mantilla 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Davis 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
B. Katz 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Anderson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Martin 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Peterson 36 12-22 1-3 0-2 13 1 0 1 3 25 15 -
B. McKenzie 30 3-5 0-2 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 6 6 -
S. Curry 26 4-9 1-5 4-4 0 4 0 0 0 13 8 -
V. Council 25 4-5 0-0 5-6 3 3 3 0 2 13 15 -
M. Brooks 23 4-11 1-4 4-5 3 1 1 1 1 13 7 -
B. Dixon 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 2 4 6 -
J. Lacy 13 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
K. Wright 11 3-4 1-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
R. Permenter 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
D. Mondy 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
J. Still 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter