Model Predictions
| Model | Appalachian State Mountaineers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +16 (65-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Appalachian State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Williamson | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 18 | - |
| K. Brand | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Sims | 28 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| M. Wright | 24 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 3 | - |
| R. Abraham | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| I. Butts | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Booth | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| T. Webb | 15 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Hunter | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Healy | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A.J. Highsmith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Williams | 33 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Wright | 31 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Perry | 30 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 5-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| J. Benson | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Searcy | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| R. Lowery | 22 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| L. Warren | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter