Model Predictions
| Model | UC Riverside Highlanders | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.7% | 52.3% | +0.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Austin | 37 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 19 | - |
| L. Gurganious | 36 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 33 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| D. Gordon | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| B. Dowdy | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| B. Hampton | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Meo | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| L. McMullan | 11 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| K. Veteto | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Chavarria | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| J. Diggs | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nielson | 33 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Brimley | 31 | 7-13 | 4-9 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| J. Stevenett | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| D. Allen | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Hodgson | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| D. Baker | 20 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| M. Massey | 19 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Bachynski | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Friel | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Weirick | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter