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2009-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Fresno State Bulldogs Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 55.3% 44.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.0% 56.0% -
Margin 40.9% 59.1% +2.0 (1.0 off)
Efficiency 86.2% 13.8% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +3 (59-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. George 39 9-17 6-10 4-4 10 1 3 0 1 28 24 -
M. Ladd 37 2-8 1-5 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 5 3 -
S. Shepp 34 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 5 1 0 4 5 5 -
S. Seay 32 3-10 0-3 5-6 4 1 0 0 3 11 3 -
G. Smith 31 2-7 0-0 1-1 4 2 1 2 2 5 5 -
N. Golubovic 11 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
B. Sperling 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
B. Webster 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 38 4-9 2-4 1-2 5 2 0 1 2 11 8 -
B. Qvale 34 4-6 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 3 0 10 10 -
R. Staudacher 30 3-7 3-7 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 9 4 -
J. McGillis 24 1-4 1-3 0-2 1 2 0 1 1 3 2 -
M. Taylor 21 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 6 10 -
W. Cherry 19 3-3 1-1 4-8 3 2 2 0 2 11 13 -
D. Selvig 16 2-6 0-2 2-2 4 2 1 0 3 6 4 -
R. Young 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 3 0 -
M. Ward 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
V. Banny 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter