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2009-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 21.8% 78.2% -
Bradley-Terry 89.5% 10.5% -
Margin 100.0% 0.0% -45.1 (44.1 off)
Pythagorean 59.8% 40.2% -
Efficiency 56.7% 43.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 76.9% 23.1% -
Log Adjusted 77.4% 22.6% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -1 (66-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Freeman 35 5-9 2-6 2-2 2 2 1 0 1 14 9 -
K. Dillard 32 8-12 2-3 0-0 2 9 2 0 6 18 13 -
J. Bocot 29 1-6 0-5 0-0 4 4 1 1 3 2 3 -
C. Fay 29 5-10 3-6 2-4 3 0 1 0 1 15 8 -
N. Evans 25 2-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 2 3 0 6 9 -
A. Booker 23 4-8 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 1 3 8 5 -
K. Brown-Surles 14 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -2 -
J. Freeman 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
E. Teague 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lowhorn 33 9-21 2-7 4-5 9 1 1 0 2 24 12 -
A. Caloiaro 33 3-3 1-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 7 10 -
D. Bryant 25 3-3 0-0 2-2 7 3 1 0 2 8 14 -
M. Williams 24 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 2 2 1 2 2 1 -
K. Vaughn 24 4-8 1-1 6-8 3 1 1 0 4 15 8 -
M. Diarra 19 3-6 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 8 5 -
P. Blackwell 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 0 0 -
R. Green 13 0-1 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
T. Bruha 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
N. Stojiljkovic 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter