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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Bowling Green Falcons Detroit Mercy Titans Spread Result
Elo 71.9% 28.1% -
Bradley-Terry 54.7% 45.3% -
Margin 53.3% 46.7% -0.7 (4.7 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bowling Green Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jakubowski 40 5-13 1-4 6-7 3 3 1 0 3 17 8 -
S. Thomas 38 4-7 3-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 11 7 -
O. Polk 33 2-7 0-0 7-9 8 0 1 0 1 11 12 -
E. Marschall 24 4-5 0-0 2-6 3 1 0 1 2 10 8 -
J. Crawford 23 6-11 2-6 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 15 4 -
M. Larson 17 1-3 0-0 3-4 4 1 1 1 1 5 8 -
D. Brown 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 0 2 -
D. McElroy 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Goins 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
L. Kraus 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Kennedy 37 5-12 0-0 1-4 4 1 0 0 3 11 1 -
C. Simon 29 5-15 1-7 4-8 3 0 1 0 3 15 1 -
W. Payne 27 1-2 0-0 4-4 5 3 3 0 2 6 13 -
E. Holman 26 4-7 0-0 3-3 12 0 1 3 0 11 20 -
X. Keeling 26 1-7 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 2 2 0 -
E. Blue 16 2-3 0-0 4-6 4 0 1 0 1 8 9 -
D. Foster 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 7 7 -
L. Lee 11 2-3 2-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 7 7 -
J. Hoskins 7 2-2 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
E. Stephens 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter