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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 8.3% 91.7% -
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% -
Margin 5.4% 94.6% +15.7 (19.3 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.7% 70.3% -
Log Adjusted 29.8% 70.2% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +35 (89-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Raivio 33 2-9 0-2 9-15 7 0 1 0 6 13 6 -
E. Niedermeyer 28 1-6 1-6 4-4 3 1 2 0 0 7 7 -
K. Knutson 28 4-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 9 7 -
T.J. Campbell 28 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 6 5 1 -
L. Sikma 23 4-8 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 1 0 9 8 -
R. Smeulders 21 1-7 0-0 4-4 4 1 1 1 1 6 5 -
T. Ito 20 1-2 1-1 2-4 0 3 0 0 4 5 2 -
J. Stohl 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -3 -
J. Hannibal 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
N. Mitrovic 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Mivshek 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Thomas 27 4-7 3-4 5-6 2 8 1 0 0 16 20 -
Q. Pondexter 26 8-13 1-1 0-2 1 1 2 1 1 17 8 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 23 3-7 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 0 7 9 -
S. Suggs 20 5-8 3-6 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 13 9 -
V. Overton 19 4-7 0-0 3-4 2 3 2 1 3 11 9 -
J. Holiday 17 1-5 0-1 3-3 7 1 1 0 0 5 9 -
A. Gaddy 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 0 0 -
D. Gant 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
T. Breshers 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 5 3 -
E. Turner Jr. 14 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 2 2 1 0 7 8 -
C. Trent 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 4 4 -
B. Sherrer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter