Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.0% | 86.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.1% | 93.9% | +15.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +8 (64-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Rogers | 31 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 9 | - |
| C. Jones | 29 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Olubuyi | 26 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Wallace | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Saldivar | 19 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Jones | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| N. Larson | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Lepley | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| L. Flores | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 34 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| P. Hornung | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - |
| T. Franklin | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| A. Nigon | 27 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - |
| G. Smith | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 14 | - |
| A. Ogide | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -4 | - |
| A. Dunn | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Busch | 9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| M. Bocar Ba | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Carr | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter