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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 43.9% 56.1% -
Bradley-Terry 59.1% 40.9% -
Margin 65.5% 34.5% -3.5 (25.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -
Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.9% 26.1% -
Log Adjusted 74.0% 26.0% -

Actual: USC Trojans +22 (77-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hopson 33 7-14 1-3 1-2 2 0 2 0 1 16 5 -
T. Smith 27 1-6 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Maze 24 4-9 0-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 8 1 -
C. Tatum 23 0-3 0-2 4-10 0 2 1 0 0 4 4 -
W. Chism 22 3-11 1-7 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 8 -2 -
J.P. Prince 17 1-4 0-0 2-4 2 1 1 0 3 4 1 -
M. Goins 16 3-8 0-3 4-6 1 1 1 0 1 10 4 -
B. Williams 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 5 -
R. Woolridge 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -1 -
K. Hall 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. McBee 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Stepheson 40 8-11 0-0 3-4 15 1 0 0 1 19 23 -
D. Lewis 39 6-11 1-3 8-9 2 3 1 0 3 21 13 -
N. Vucevic 39 5-7 1-1 4-6 10 0 0 3 2 15 19 -
M. Gerrity 37 1-7 0-1 10-11 5 10 0 0 6 12 14 -
M. Johnson 26 2-3 1-2 3-4 7 1 0 0 3 8 10 -
M. Simmons 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
D. Smith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Rozitis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter