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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Idaho State Bengals Sacramento State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 58.4% 41.6% -
Bradley-Terry 47.6% 52.4% -
Margin 42.4% 57.6% +1.7 (0.7 off)
Efficiency 86.5% 13.5% -

Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +1 (64-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Gilchrest 38 10-18 4-9 1-1 4 2 4 0 2 25 15 -
D. Monroe 36 3-6 0-0 1-2 9 2 0 1 2 7 11 -
A. Morgan 35 5-17 1-5 6-8 5 1 2 0 2 17 6 -
C. Tatum 23 3-3 0-0 3-4 5 0 2 2 0 9 15 -
R. Little 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 0 -
S. Baldwin 17 1-5 0-4 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 3 0 -
M. Lacey 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Kilpatrick 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -
D. Carson 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Toles-Bey 35 2-8 2-6 4-4 3 6 1 0 4 10 8 -
M. Marcial 35 3-5 0-2 2-4 3 5 3 0 2 8 12 -
J. Eller 33 5-9 0-1 0-4 10 0 0 0 2 10 9 -
J. Dickson 32 8-14 1-3 2-4 3 1 0 0 2 19 7 -
A. Flaggs 31 3-11 2-6 2-2 6 3 2 0 0 10 10 -
D. Bjegovic 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 0 -1 -
D. Daniel 7 2-3 1-1 2-2 1 2 2 1 0 7 10 -
J. Stigall 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Lopez 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
J. Malloy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter