Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.6% | 10.4% | -11.9 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.8% | 26.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -1 (54-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Kelly | 37 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C. Richard | 33 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Reed | 29 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Lathan | 27 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Printy | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| I. Martin | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Leitnaker | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Carter | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Crawford | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Doluony | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Barnett | 37 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| M. Lo | 29 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| L. Bastfield | 29 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Dressler | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Griffin | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Anyijong | 19 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Shunnar | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Albrecht | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| I. Salter | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter