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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 16.5% 83.5% -
Bradley-Terry 20.3% 79.7% -
Margin 7.5% 92.5% +13.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 73.0% 27.0% -
Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.0% 41.0% -
Log Adjusted 58.7% 41.3% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Templeton 32 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 3 3 -
J. Young 31 4-9 2-5 3-4 3 0 2 0 1 13 8 -
R. Wedel 28 4-8 3-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 11 7 -
C. Stanley 27 2-6 1-2 6-6 3 4 0 0 0 11 12 -
S. VanDeest 26 5-8 1-1 4-6 5 2 0 2 0 15 16 -
F. Wiseler 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
B. Simons 16 2-7 1-5 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 6 0 -
A. Hawley 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Uhlenhopp 9 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
B. Eaddy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens 40 5-8 4-6 4-4 9 5 1 0 0 18 25 -
A. Tucker 36 5-11 5-11 2-4 3 3 1 0 0 17 13 -
C. Payne 35 3-5 2-4 0-2 6 3 0 0 3 8 9 -
E. May 23 3-6 0-3 7-10 3 1 0 2 0 13 13 -
A. Fuller 22 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 4 5 -
J. Cole 19 4-8 0-0 0-3 6 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
B. Cougill 16 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Bawinkel 9 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -

* = starter