Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs +1 (69-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Crawford | 35 | 9-17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 7 | - |
| D. Jackson | 32 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| T. Holloway | 32 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| J. Love | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Lyons | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| K. Frease | 19 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| B. Redford | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Taylor | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. McLean | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Hayward | 38 | 6-11 | 4-5 | 6-7 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 25 | - |
| W. Veasley | 37 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| R. Nored | 34 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Howard | 30 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| S. Mack | 28 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| A. Jukes | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Vanzant | 10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Z. Hahn | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| G. Butcher | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter