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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.6% 72.4% -
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 (20.3 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 80.0% 20.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.6% 54.4% -
Log Adjusted 45.5% 54.5% -

Actual: Utah Utes -10 (63-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Phillips 35 4-6 1-3 8-9 2 5 3 0 5 17 16 -
D. Odiakosa 34 4-7 0-0 2-3 4 0 3 0 1 10 9 -
O. Eldridge 32 6-16 0-3 5-9 5 1 2 0 1 17 8 -
A. Rubin 30 0-6 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 2 -1 -
J. Carmichael 27 3-6 0-0 1-2 10 1 3 3 2 7 16 -
A. Hill 19 4-5 0-0 4-4 0 1 0 0 0 12 8 -
K. Thornton 16 3-3 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 7 -
T. Johnson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Mishler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Lewis 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Drca 32 6-14 2-7 4-4 8 5 2 0 2 18 17 -
K. Tillie 32 6-9 0-1 7-7 7 1 1 0 0 19 19 -
J. Tavita 28 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
C. Brown 25 5-10 1-4 4-6 5 3 2 0 6 15 9 -
M. Henderson 25 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 3 -1 -
J. Washburn 22 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 3 2 0 -
D. Foster 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 4 1 0 4 -
M. Read 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Glover 6 0-1 0-0 0-1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 -
J. Cyphers 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Hines 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter