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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Utah Utes Spread Result
Elo 56.8% 43.2% -2.8 โœ“ (7.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 64.2% 35.8% - โœ“
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.9 โœ— (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 55.5% 44.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 53.5% 46.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.8% 51.2% - โœ—

Actual: Utah Utes -10 (63-73). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lloyd Phillips * 35 4-6 1-3 8-9 2 5 3 0 5 17 16 -
Dinma Odiakosa * 34 4-7 0-0 2-3 4 0 3 0 1 10 9 -
Osiris Eldridge * 32 6-16 0-3 5-9 5 1 2 0 1 17 8 -
Alex Rubin * 30 0-6 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Jackie Carmichael * 27 3-6 0-0 1-2 10 1 3 3 2 7 16 -
Austin Hill 19 4-5 0-0 4-4 0 1 0 0 0 12 8 -
Kellen Thornton 16 3-3 2-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 8 7 -
Terry Johnson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Blake Mishler 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Tony Lewis 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Utah Utes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kim Tillie * 32 6-9 0-1 7-7 7 1 1 0 0 19 19 -
Luka Drca * 32 6-14 2-7 4-4 8 5 2 0 2 18 17 -
Jace Tavita * 28 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -1 -
Marshall Henderson * 25 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 3 -1 -
David Foster * 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 4 1 0 4 -
Carlon Brown 25 5-10 1-4 4-6 5 3 2 0 6 15 9 -
Jason Washburn 22 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 3 2 0 -
Matt Read 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Shawn Glover 6 0-1 0-0 0-1 0 1 1 1 1 0 1 -
Jordan Cyphers 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Chris Hines 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter