Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | +6.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.5% | 86.5% | +10.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +13 (103-90). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Davis * | 34 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Marcus Ginyard * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Larry Drew II * | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Deon Thompson * | 21 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Will Graves * | 12 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Dexter Strickland | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 15 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| David Wear | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| John Henson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Travis Wear | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Leslie McDonald | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Justin Watts | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damion James * | 34 | 8-22 | 0-5 | 9-14 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| Avery Bradley * | 28 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Dexter Pittman * | 26 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Dogus Balbay * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Justin Mason * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J'Covan Brown | 27 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 17 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Gary Johnson | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Alexis Wangmene | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Matt Hill | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jai Lucas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Clint Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter