Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +13 (103-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Davis | 34 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 33 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| L. Drew II | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 21 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Strickland | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. Zeller | 15 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| D. Wear | 14 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| W. Graves | 12 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| J. Henson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Wear | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. McDonald | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Watts | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. James | 34 | 8-22 | 0-5 | 9-14 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 23 | - |
| A. Bradley | 28 | 7-17 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| J. Brown | 27 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| D. Pittman | 26 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 24 | - |
| D. Balbay | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Hamilton | 17 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| G. Johnson | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Wangmene | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Mason | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Lucas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Hill | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter