Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.6% | 51.4% | +0.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars -6 (64-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost | 38 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 13 | - |
| R. Johnson | 38 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| B. Stewart | 37 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Varnado | 34 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 7-17 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 24 | - |
| P. Turner | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Augustus | 20 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| R. Benock | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| W. Lewis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| R. Osby | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Coleman | 40 | 10-31 | 3-8 | 5-11 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 13 | - |
| K. Lewis | 39 | 7-17 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| D. Wade | 33 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| A. Brown | 31 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -7 | - |
| K. Broughton | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Z. Nixon | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| K. Van Slyke | 9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. McNeil | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Coleman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Washington | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Haywood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter