Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | +5.5 | ✓ (29.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +35 (76-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Bouldin | 32 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3 | - |
| S. Gray | 29 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Sacre | 29 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | - |
| E. Harris | 25 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Goodson | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Kong | 17 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| M. Arop | 16 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| K. Olynyk | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Gibbs | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| G.J. Vilarino | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Hart | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| W. Foster | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Poling | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Scheyer | 36 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| N. Smith | 33 | 10-18 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 12 | - |
| K. Singler | 32 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| L. Thomas | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| A. Dawkins | 17 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Kelly | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Davidson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Johnson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter