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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model UC Riverside Highlanders Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 40.7% 59.3% -
Bradley-Terry 28.3% 71.7% -
Margin 18.7% 81.3% +8.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 20.2% 79.8% -
Efficiency 28.4% 71.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +15 (67-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Austin 36 6-12 1-3 1-3 3 1 0 0 4 14 2 -
S. Cunningham 33 3-5 3-4 0-0 6 3 1 0 0 9 14 -
L. Gurganious 24 1-5 0-1 0-0 6 2 0 1 2 2 4 -
B. Hampton 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 4 6 -
B. Dowdy 22 1-7 1-5 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 3 0 -
D. Gordon 20 2-7 1-3 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 5 0 -
L. McMullan 16 4-5 4-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 12 6 -
D. Chavarria 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
K. Veteto 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -5 -
J. Diggs 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Meo 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Johnson 35 9-13 4-7 1-2 4 3 0 0 3 23 14 -
R. Staudacher 34 4-10 3-6 2-3 1 1 0 0 0 13 5 -
B. Qvale 27 0-4 0-0 5-6 9 1 0 3 3 5 11 -
D. Selvig 26 2-3 1-1 0-0 9 5 0 0 2 5 14 -
M. Taylor 21 3-7 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 9 5 -
J. McGillis 18 2-3 1-2 1-3 1 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
W. Cherry 16 1-4 0-0 0-2 3 3 2 0 0 2 6 -
R. Young 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
V. Banny 7 0-0 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 0 2 0 2 -
M. Ward 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter