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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 26.8% 73.2% -
Bradley-Terry 35.3% 64.7% -
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +17 (69-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Whitcomb 0 4-13 2-7 4-4 6 0 0 0 4 14 3 -
R. Rogers 0 3-6 0-0 3-6 7 0 1 0 1 9 10 -
S. Morton 0 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Argens 0 1-5 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 2 0 2 3 -
K. Kingma 0 1-5 0-2 3-5 4 1 1 0 2 5 4 -

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas 29 3-9 1-3 3-4 3 5 1 0 2 10 8 -
D. Green 27 2-5 0-0 2-3 8 6 5 0 1 6 19 -
D. Roe 26 5-7 0-0 4-4 8 0 2 0 2 14 15 -
D. Summers 25 1-4 1-1 6-6 5 1 1 0 3 9 9 -
K. Lucious 22 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 5 1 -
R. Morgan 21 7-11 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 1 1 14 11 -
C. Allen 20 2-7 0-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 6 4 -
A. Thornton 9 1-1 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
G. Sherman 8 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
D. Nix 6 0-1 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
I. Dahlman 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Herzog 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
J. Crandell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Johnson 0 4-4 1-1 4-8 11 0 2 3 2 13 23 -
A. Jefferson 0 2-7 0-1 2-4 4 0 1 0 3 6 1 -
A. DeHaan 0 4-10 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 3 0 10 7 -
B. Thomas 0 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 4 1 0 2 2 6 -
C. Washington 0 1-3 1-1 1-4 5 1 1 0 1 4 7 -

* = starter