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2009-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 9.2% 90.8% -
Bradley-Terry 23.4% 76.6% -
Margin 13.4% 86.6% +10.3 (6.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% -
Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 65.9% 34.1% -
Log Adjusted 65.6% 34.4% -

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +17 (69-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lucas 29 3-9 1-3 3-4 3 5 1 0 2 10 8 -
D. Green 27 2-5 0-0 2-3 8 6 5 0 1 6 19 -
D. Roe 26 5-7 0-0 4-4 8 0 2 0 2 14 15 -
D. Summers 25 1-4 1-1 6-6 5 1 1 0 3 9 9 -
K. Lucious 22 2-6 1-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 5 1 -
R. Morgan 21 7-11 0-0 0-0 4 4 0 1 1 14 11 -
C. Allen 20 2-7 0-3 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 6 4 -
A. Thornton 9 1-1 1-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 6 -
G. Sherman 8 4-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
D. Nix 6 0-1 0-0 1-4 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
I. Dahlman 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Herzog 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
J. Crandell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Johnson 0 4-4 1-1 4-8 11 0 2 3 2 13 23 -
A. Jefferson 0 2-7 0-1 2-4 4 0 1 0 3 6 1 -
A. DeHaan 0 4-10 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 3 0 10 7 -
B. Thomas 0 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 4 1 0 2 2 6 -
C. Washington 0 1-3 1-1 1-4 5 1 1 0 1 4 7 -

* = starter