Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | UMass Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 87.0% | 13.0% | -10.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMass Minutemen +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mack | 36 | 9-13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| R. Sallie | 34 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| W. Kemp | 34 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| E. Williams | 33 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 7-7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| W. Witherspoon | 19 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| P. Henderson-Niles | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Coleman | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| D. Stephens | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UMass Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Harris | 33 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 9-10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| T. Vinson | 31 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| G. Correia | 31 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| A. Gurley | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| S. Carter | 25 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D. Gibbs | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Carter | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| H. Bailey | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Hill | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Farrell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter